On the sensitivity of the one-sided t test to covariance misspecification

Sensitivity analysis stands in contrast to diagnostic testing in that sensitivity analysis aims to answer the question of whether it matters that a nuisance parameter is non-zero, whereas a diagnostic test ascertains explicitly if the nuisance parameter is different from zero. In this paper, we introduce and derive the finite sample properties of a sensitivity statistic measuring the sensitivity of the t statistic to covariance misspecification. Unlike the earlier work by Banerjee and Magnus [A. Banerjee, J.R. Magnus, On the sensitivity of the usual tand F-tests to covariance misspecification, Journal of Econometrics 95 (2000) 157–176] on the sensitivity of the F statistic, the theorems derived in the current paper hold under both the null and alternative hypotheses. Also, in contrast to Banerjee and Magnus’ [see the above cited reference] results on the F test, we find that the decision to accept the null using the OLS based one-sided t test is not necessarily robust against covariance misspecification anddependsmuch on the underlying datamatrix. Our results also indicate that autocorrelation does not necessarily weaken the power of the OLS based t test. © 2009 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.